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基于面板VAR模型的农业用水与农业经济增长关系研究

许永欣 马骏

山东农业科学2017,Vol.49Issue(5):159-163,5.
山东农业科学2017,Vol.49Issue(5):159-163,5.DOI:10.14083/j.issn.1001-4942.2017.05.033

基于面板VAR模型的农业用水与农业经济增长关系研究

Research on Relationship Between Agricultural Water and Agricultural Economic Growth Based on Panel VAR Model

许永欣 1马骏1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学商学院,江苏南京211100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on Chinese provincial panel data from 2002 to 2014,through establishing panel VAR model between agricultural water and agricultural economic growth and carrying out the unit root test,co-integration test and model estimation and analysis,the internal relations between agricultural water and agricultural economic growth were studied.The results showed that there were long-term co-integration relationships between the agricultural water and agricultural economic growth in the eastern,middle and western area,and the relationships existed differences in different areas because of individual difference.The agricultural water and agricultural economic growth was negatively correlated in the eastern,but positively correlated in the middle,and there were both negative relationship and positive relationship in the western.We suggested to optimize the industrial structure and technical level to improve the utilization efficiency of water resources,control and reduce the consumption of agricultural water and conduct different water policies in different regions.

关键词

面板VAR模型/农业用水/农业经济增长

Key words

Panel VAR model/Agricultural water/Agricultural economic growth

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

许永欣,马骏..基于面板VAR模型的农业用水与农业经济增长关系研究[J].山东农业科学,2017,49(5):159-163,5.

基金项目

江苏省社会科学基金项目“苏北地区湖泊保护战略研究”(12EYB008) (12EYB008)

江苏省博士后科研基金项目“苏北地区湖泊保护与经济发展协同机理与路径”(1202087C) (1202087C)

中央高校基本科研业务费项目“水利风景区水利旅游功能差异及影响因素研究”(2015B10114) (2015B10114)

山东农业科学

OACSTPCD

1001-4942

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