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基于设备状态评价的配电网动态可靠性评估

王浩鸣 唐翀 吴莉萍 杨磊 姚瑛 刘洪

电力系统及其自动化学报2017,Vol.29Issue(7):68-74,7.
电力系统及其自动化学报2017,Vol.29Issue(7):68-74,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-8930.2017.07.011

基于设备状态评价的配电网动态可靠性评估

Dynamic Reliability Assessment of Distribution Network Based on Equipment State Evaluation Model

王浩鸣 1唐翀 2吴莉萍 1杨磊 1姚瑛 1刘洪2

作者信息

  • 1. 国网天津市电力公司电力科学研究院,天津 300384
  • 2. 智能电网教育部重点实验室(天津大学),天津 300072
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In the traditional reliability assessment of distribution network,the calculation is based on the historical sta?tistics of equipment failure. However,the historical statistics cannot reflect the dynamic state of equipment,thus the re?al-time reliability analysis cannot be supported. To tackle the above shortcomings,a dynamic reliability assessment method for distribution network is proposed based on an equipment state evaluation model. Firstly,according to the fail?ure records of the existing urban distribution network,the failure factors of distribution network equipment are analyzed and determined. Secondly,the failure rate of equipment based on historical statistics is combined with the operation states of equipment,and a failure rate model is set up considering the actual states of equipment,such as operation life,operation state and operation environment. Thirdly,a reliability assessment method of distribution network based on the equipment state evaluation model is proposed,which can be used to evaluate the dynamic reliability and exca?vate the weak links of distribution network at the same time. Finally,an example is analyzed to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.

关键词

设备状态评价/配电网/可靠性评估/薄弱环节挖掘

Key words

equipment state evaluation/distribution network/reliability assessment/weak link excavation

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

王浩鸣,唐翀,吴莉萍,杨磊,姚瑛,刘洪..基于设备状态评价的配电网动态可靠性评估[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2017,29(7):68-74,7.

基金项目

国网天津市电力公司科技项目(KJ16-1-08) (KJ16-1-08)

电力系统及其自动化学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1003-8930

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