中国人口·资源与环境2017，Vol.27Issue(7)：111-119,9.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170405
地方政府土地出让策略互动行为的检验及其影响分析
Test and influence analysis of local government land leasing strategic interaction
摘要
Abstract
Taking cities of Shandong Province as research objects, by building the spatial panel model and applying spatial econometric tool, and through two perspective of quantity and price, this paper comprehensively evaluated strategic interaction of commercial, residential and industrial land leasing of local governments and analyzed the influence of the interactive strategy.The paper found that: ①Obvious strategic interaction existed in the price of commercial, residential and industrial land leasing price and in the industrial land leasing quantity, presenting as contradictory relationship of zero-sum game pattern.② Without considering of strategic interaction, the influence factors of the local government land leasing behavior had some deviation in general estimation models.For the commercial land leasing price, the effects of tertiary industry proportion and population density were underestimated 33.33% and 13.08% respectively.For residential land leasing price, the effects of population urbanization rate and per capita disposable income were underestimated 20.00% and 9.98%, and the effect of population density was overrated 32.34%.For industrial land leasing price, the effect of per capita foreign direct investment was overrated 3.68%.For industrial land leasing quantity, the effects of the second industry ratio and the industrial production per area were overrated 13.95% and 31.36%, respectively.③There were obvious spatial overflow effects in the local government land leasing behavior.Factors resulting in spatial overflow effects were population density for commercial land leasing price, population urbanization rate, population density and per capita disposable income for residential land leasing price, per capita foreign direct investment and net value investment per area for industrial land leasing price, secondary industry ratio and net value investment per area for industrial land leasing quantity.关键词
地方政府/土地出让/策略互动/影响分析/空间计量模型Key words
local government/land leasing/strategic interaction/influence analysis/spatial econometric model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
彭山桂,程道平,张勇..地方政府土地出让策略互动行为的检验及其影响分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(7):111-119,9.基金项目
国家社科基金青年项目"农村宅基地退出补偿激励机制研究"(批准号:15CJY047). （批准号:15CJY047）
