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论地质灾害风险识别问题

刘传正

水文地质工程地质2017,Vol.44Issue(4):1-7,7.
水文地质工程地质2017,Vol.44Issue(4):1-7,7.DOI:10.16030/j.cnki.issn.1000-3665.2017.04.01

论地质灾害风险识别问题

Research on the risk recognition of geological disasters

刘传正1

作者信息

  • 1. 国土资源部地质灾害应急指导中心,北京 100081;中国地质环境监测院,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on years of scientific research and in situ " prototype measurement" of geological disasters,author proposed six factors and their variations with time for risk identification or early recognition of geological disasters.The factors include:topographic forms (a),components and structures (b),initial states (c),induced factors (d),environmental conditions (e) and harmful objects (f) with its time (t).This method can be termed as "risk identification by six factors",representing as R =f(a,b,c,d,e,f;t).The variations of six factors determine the probability of encounters between geological hazards and human beings.To prove that,geological disasters induced by changing of typical factors over time were discussed.Compared with assessments over-focused on occurred hazard events,this dynamic thinking can provide a better understanding on time-dependent risk assessments and risk managements for disasters reduction.

关键词

地质灾害/风险识别/边界形态/初始状态/激发条件/环境因素/成灾模式

Key words

geological disaster/risk identification/topographic forms/initial states/induced factors/environmental condition/catastrophic type

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

刘传正..论地质灾害风险识别问题[J].水文地质工程地质,2017,44(4):1-7,7.

基金项目

国家级地质灾害应急防治(1211221481001) (1211221481001)

水文地质工程地质

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-3665

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