运筹与管理2017，Vol.26Issue(7)：39-47,9.DOI:10.12005/orms.2017.0160
FIDIC合同条件下工程索赔的博弈模型
Game Modeling of Construction Claims Based on FIDIC Contract
摘要
Abstract
Claim is the common focus to each participant of the construction engineering and the claim decisions affect the interests of the owner and the contractor directly.As Chinese contractor taking part in more and more international construction projects,FIDIC contract conditions are arousing more attention than before,the claim clauses of which get wide recognition.This research locates characteristics of construction claims through the courses and classifications of FIDIC contract in order to establish the game model to analyze the claim strategy and decision path.Firstly,the research analyzes the matching degree between game theory,Bayes Rule and claim decision,then,constructs the basic game model of construction claim.Secondly,based on the four scenarios of construction claim,the research conducts respectively the game model of limited rounds with complete information,the game model under the influence of time value,the game model of limited rounds with incomplete information and the game model under not completely opposite.By solving the Nash equilibrium of the four game models,the research simulates the decision-making process to seek the optimal strategy of engineering participants.Participants should truthfully claim under complete information game.Under the incomplete information game,the contractor will adopt strategy to raise the claim amount,and the owner should refuse it to negotiate.In any case,all participants should take reasonable concessions to compromise the claim amount over negotiation.关键词
工程索赔/FIDIC合同/博弈模型/贝叶斯法则Key words
construction claims/FIDIC contract/game modeling/bayes rule分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘惠敏,陈坤韡..FIDIC合同条件下工程索赔的博弈模型[J].运筹与管理,2017,26(7):39-47,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(青年面上连续资助)项目经济增长与生态改善的三个"效应"和"脱钩"模式研究(71373007) （青年面上连续资助）
上海市教委科研创新重点项目基于GIS的能源消耗脱钩指数时空分异研究(14ZZ036) （14ZZ036）
