电力系统及其自动化学报2017，Vol.29Issue(8)：1-7,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1003-8930.2017.08.001
基于系统动力学的电动汽车规模推演分析与仿真
Analysis and Simulation of Electric Vehicles Scale Evolution Based on System Dynamics
摘要
Abstract
The system dynamics model is built based on systematic analysis of the various factors and their relationship. Then the development trend of electric vehicles is simulated with the proposed model. Analysis the development trend of electric vehicle under different conditions by building scenario. It is also can be obtained that the evolution of electric vehicles scale would grow upward fast in future,while the purchasing ratio would be shown as S type curve,in which the change in the early stage would be affected by the government policies,while the development of technology and in-frastructure construction will become the most critical factors in the later stage.关键词
电动汽车/系统动力学/因素分析/推演Key words
electric vehicle(EV)/system dynamics(SD)/factors analysis/evolution分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
周昊,刘俊勇,刘友波,向月,戴松灵,李婷..基于系统动力学的电动汽车规模推演分析与仿真[J].电力系统及其自动化学报,2017,29(8):1-7,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51377111) （51377111）
