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突发交通事故下城市道路交通网络的延误扩散临界研究

姚红光 李智忠 林彦

系统管理学报2017,Vol.26Issue(4):663-669,7.
系统管理学报2017,Vol.26Issue(4):663-669,7.

突发交通事故下城市道路交通网络的延误扩散临界研究

Critical Boundary of Delay Spread on Urban Road Traffic Network under Disruptive Traffic Accidents

姚红光 1李智忠 1林彦1

作者信息

  • 1. 上海工程技术大学航空运输学院,上海201620
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Critical boundary of delay spread provides basic theoretical guidance to prevent the large areas delay of urban road traffic network caused by the disruptive traffic accidents.The SIS model of delay spread in the road traffic network is built by applying mean-field theory.The analytical expression of critical value of delay spread is obtained by the steady state density of the delay sections in the steady state system of the SIS model.Moreover,the simulation system is designed to test on the critical value of the delay spread on the generated virtual network "with the same statistical characteristic as the topological structure of road traffic network".The simulation results coincide well with the analytical results.The study shows that the critical value of the delay spread in the urban road traffic is inversely proportional to "the traffic volume of the road traffic network,the average degree of the network,the average number flowing through the sections of the traffic flow in unit time,and the total traffic volume in the network and probability of rechoosing roads",and it is in direct proportion to the network sections number.

关键词

延误扩散/临界/道路交通网络

Key words

delay spread/criticality/road traffic network

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

姚红光,李智忠,林彦..突发交通事故下城市道路交通网络的延误扩散临界研究[J].系统管理学报,2017,26(4):663-669,7.

基金项目

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目(14YJCZH183) (14YJCZH183)

系统管理学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1005-2542

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