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多阶段递进式预测模型在基坑变形中的应用研究

周永胜

长江科学院院报2017,Vol.34Issue(8):47-51,5.
长江科学院院报2017,Vol.34Issue(8):47-51,5.DOI:10.11988/ckyyb.20160449

多阶段递进式预测模型在基坑变形中的应用研究

Application of Multi-stage Progressive Model to Predicting Foundation Pit Deformation

周永胜1

作者信息

  • 1. 陕西铁路工程职业技术学院,陕西渭南714000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The aim of this research is to improve the precision of pit deformation prediction and enhance the stability of prediction results.Support vector machine,BP neural network and GM (1,1) are used as the basis of prediction model,and the corresponding first-order prediction models with parameters optimized are established.On this basis,the second-order combinatorial forecasting model of multiple fixed weight and non-fixed weight is established.In subsequence,on the basis of the Markov chain theory,the error correction model of three steps is established,and the progressive prediction of foundation pit deformation is realized.Results demonstrate that the prediction accuracy and stability are greatly improved by the progressive prediction of multiple stages,which verifies the validity and feasibility of the proposed method in this paper.The result is expected to provide a new idea for the prediction of foundation pit deformation.

关键词

基坑/递进预测模型/支持向量机/BP神经网络/GM(1,1)模型/组合预测/误差修正

Key words

foundation pit/progressive prediction model/support vector machines/BP neural network/GM (1,1)/combinatorial forecasting/error correction

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

周永胜..多阶段递进式预测模型在基坑变形中的应用研究[J].长江科学院院报,2017,34(8):47-51,5.

长江科学院院报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-5485

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