工业工程2017，Vol.20Issue(4)：57-64,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.e17-3091
基于灰色聚类方法的关键链项目工期风险评估
A Critical Chain Project Duration Risk Evaluation Based on Grey Clustering Method
摘要
Abstract
Duration uncertainty, resource conflict and other issues make project schedule management more complex. In order to effectively identify the duration risk, based on the gray critical chain method, the consistency index is used to make a gray estimation of the duration and the uncertainty factors such as resource stress, process complexity, work flexibility, risk preference and environmental uncertainty are fully considered. Then the duration risk evaluation is carried out by using the clustering coefficient determined based on the gray clustering evaluation model of the triangular whitening weight function. Finally, it is applied into a practical case to identify the processes with high duration risk and reduce the delay risk to prove the effectiveness and practicability of proposed method.关键词
关键链/工期风险/灰色聚类方法/三角白化权函数Key words
critical chain/duration risk/gray clustering method/triangular whitenization weight function分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李康,徐海燕,陈浩..基于灰色聚类方法的关键链项目工期风险评估[J].工业工程,2017,20(4):57-64,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71071076,71471087,61673209) （71071076,71471087,61673209）
