湖泊科学2017，Vol.29Issue(5)：1070-1083,14.DOI:10.18307/2017.0505
基于集合卡尔曼滤波的湖泊富营养化模型Delft3D-BLOOM数据同化
Ensemble Kalman filter based data assimilation in the Delft3D-BLOOM lake eutrophication model
摘要
Abstract
Numerical eutrophication model is an important tool to predict and manage the ecosystem of lakes and reservoirs.However,the objective errors of the model are always vital problems the users concerned.Data assimilation,which connects observations and model simulations,can effectively improve the accuracy of models.Ensemble Kalman filter(EnKF),which is one of the most widely used methods for data assimilation,is suitable for nonlinear system and has high computation efficiency.In this research,the Delft3D-BLOOM was taken as the eutrophication model,and Lake Taihu was taken as the study case.After numerical testing,the ensemble size was set to 100,the observation error variance was set to 1％,and the simulation error variance was set to 10％.Two data assimilation modes,assimilation of model state variables and synchronous assimilation of both state variables and key parameters,were examined.The results showed that the fitness between model simulation and observation was slightly improved when the state variable was updated.When both the state variables and parameters were assimilated,the fitness was significantly improved.The study provides a promising approach in using EnKF to improve the simulation accuracy of complex eutrophication models.关键词
集合卡尔曼滤波/富营养化模型/数据同化/湖泊/太湖Key words
Ensemble Kalman filter/eutrophication model/data assimilation/lake/Lake Taihu引用本文复制引用
刘卓,志杰,柳明,育青,求稳..基于集合卡尔曼滤波的湖泊富营养化模型Delft3D-BLOOM数据同化[J].湖泊科学,2017,29(5):1070-1083,14.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(51579149,51609142)和江苏省水利科技项目(2016021)联合资助. （51579149,51609142）
