交通信息与安全2017,Vol.35Issue(4):106-111,126,7.DOI:10.3963/j.issn.1674-4861.2017.04.014
基于社会互动视角的出行方式选择行为机理分析
A Study on Behavior Mechanism of Travel Mode Choice Based on a Perspective of Social Interaction
摘要
Abstract
Most of the previous travel behavior models implicitly stipulated a biased assumption that individual decision-making is independent from others′ behaviors.Thus, these models cannot accurately reflect macro traffic situations when analyzing traffic behaviors with obvious social interaction effects.In this study,''travel mode choice behavior''is regarded as a collective behavior, and equilibrium shift states of travel choice behaviors are analyzed with a consideration of social interaction effects.Accordingly, a threshold model of travel mode choice behavior is developed.Taking parking fee as an indicating variable of policy interventions, it quantitatively estimates the threshold of eliminating inferiority equilibrium (i.e.unrestrained travel of private cars).The results show that when parking fee increases to over RMB 15 yuan per trip, the collective behavior will reach the equilibrium shift threshold, which can promote the proportion of travels using public transport from 19.3% to 72.3%.关键词
城市交通/出行方式选择/社会互动/阈值分析/政策干预/均衡转移Key words
urban transport/travel mode choice/social interaction/threshold value analysis/policy interventions/equilibrium shift分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
潘驰,郭志达..基于社会互动视角的出行方式选择行为机理分析[J].交通信息与安全,2017,35(4):106-111,126,7.基金项目
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(15YJC630095)资助 (15YJC630095)