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渭河流域降雨结构时空演变特征

蔡新玲 蔡依晅 叶殿秀 乔秋文 路岑之 赵晓萌 李茜

水土保持研究2017,Vol.24Issue(6):370-375,6.
水土保持研究2017,Vol.24Issue(6):370-375,6.

渭河流域降雨结构时空演变特征

Spatiotemporal Variability Characteristics of Precipitation Pattern in Weihe River Basin

蔡新玲 1蔡依晅 2叶殿秀 3乔秋文 4路岑之 2赵晓萌 1李茜1

作者信息

  • 1. 陕西省气候中心,西安710014
  • 2. 西安市周至县水务局,陕西周至710400
  • 3. 国家气候中心,北京100081
  • 4. 国家电网西北电力调控分中心,西安710004
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to study the temporal and spatial variation of precipitation pattern in Weihe River Basin under the background of climate change,the change trend of precipitation pattern and the spatial variation characteristics of different precipitation durations and different precipitation grades were discussed by using the incidence rate,contribution rate of precipitation and the method of linear tendency rate and non-parametric Mann-Kendall test.The data included hourly precipitation covering 1981-2012 in 71 meteorological stations in the Weihe River basin.The results show that:(1) the precipitation occurrence rate decreases rapidly with the increase of precipitation time;the contribution rate of precipitation increases rapidly with the increase of precipitation time,and then decreases in Weihe River Basin;the short duration precipitation has a high occurrence rate and the contribution rate in the upper reaches of the river basin,and the duration precipitation occurrence rate and contribution rate are higher in the middle and lower reaches of the river basin;(2) the long duration precipitation rate and contribution rate show the decreasing trend from 1 to 6 h of short duration and more than 48 hours in Weihe River Basin,and the increasing trend in 7 to 24 h,This trend is more significant in the middle and lower reaches of the basin;(3) the precipitation rate decreases exponentially with the increase of precipitation grades,the occurrence rate of sprinkle is the highest,and the rainstorm is the lowest in Weihe River Basin;the occurrence rate and contribution rate of sprinkle and moderate rain are higher in upstream,and heavy rain and rainstorm are higher in the middle and lower basin,especially in the mainstream of Weihe River,the rainstorm contribution rate is more than 25%;(4) the occurrence rate and contribution rate of sprinkle show a significant downward trend and the rainstorm performs an increasing trend in Weihe River Basin,this trend will likely make the watershed flood control situation tends severe.

关键词

渭河流域/降水历时/降水等级

Key words

Weihe River Basin/precipitation duration/precipitation grades

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

蔡新玲,蔡依晅,叶殿秀,乔秋文,路岑之,赵晓萌,李茜..渭河流域降雨结构时空演变特征[J].水土保持研究,2017,24(6):370-375,6.

基金项目

陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目“基于相似理论的渭河致洪秋雨短期气候预测方法研究”(2012JM5012) (2012JM5012)

“陕西省环境气象影响评估及霾预测研究”(2014JM2-4038) (2014JM2-4038)

陕西省社发攻关项目“陕西气象干旱事件监测预警及评估技术研究”(2016SF-419) (2016SF-419)

水土保持研究

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1005-3409

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