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基于工程量清单计价模式的输变电工程造价风险评估模型研究

周昊 钱亦雯 王闰瑶

现代电子技术2017,Vol.40Issue(18):23-25,28,4.
现代电子技术2017,Vol.40Issue(18):23-25,28,4.DOI:10.16652/j.issn.1004-373x.2017.18.006

基于工程量清单计价模式的输变电工程造价风险评估模型研究

Research on cost risk assessment model of power transmission and transformation project based on bill-of-quantity valuation mode

周昊 1钱亦雯 1王闰瑶1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网江苏省电力公司 南京供电公司,江苏 南京 210000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The current bill-of-quantity valuation mode is prone to result in unbalanced quotation of constructors,which leads to over-budgetary estimation events in terms of construction management units. In this paper,based on the in-depth analy-sis of the bidding strategies of construction units and the risks faced by the construction management departments,an optimal model of unbalanced quotation is constructed to obtain the quotations of the construction units. The Monte Carlo method is used to build the risk assessment model of the power transmission and transformation project,and the model is simulated by the com-puter to obtain the cost risk of the power transmission and transformation project,and then determine what measures need to be taken to avoid risks or reduce the over-budgetary estimations.

关键词

工程量清单计价模式/输变电工程/蒙特卡罗法/风险评估模型/超概算事件

Key words

bill-of-quantity valuation mode/power transmission and transformation project/Monte Carlo method/risk eval-uation model/over-budgetary estimation event

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

周昊,钱亦雯,王闰瑶..基于工程量清单计价模式的输变电工程造价风险评估模型研究[J].现代电子技术,2017,40(18):23-25,28,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(60673072) (60673072)

现代电子技术

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1004-373X

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