中国电力2017，Vol.50Issue(9)：31-36,6.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201607096
基于解释结构模型的能源需求影响因素分析
Analysis on Influencing Factors of Energy Demand Based on Interpretative Structural Modeling
摘要
Abstract
The energy demand system is not only affected by various factors inside energy system,but also influenced by various other factors including economic development,social natural environment,population factor,technological progress.It is a typical nonlinear system with very complex relationship among various factors.System engineering methods are used to analyze influencing factors of energy demand and relationship amongthem.The interpretative structural model is used to analyze hierarchical relationshipamong influencing factors of energy demand.Surface factors,intermediate factors,core factors and source factors that affect energy demand are summarized.The analysis shows that population,urbanization level,living standard,energy consumption structure and energy use efficiency are direct influencing factors of energy demand change.The economic development level is the core factor,and the source factors can be divided into three categories:international economic situation,various related policies and major activities.关键词
能源需求/影响因素/解释结构模型Key words
energy demand/influencing factors/interpretative structural modeling分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
王敬敏,康俊杰..基于解释结构模型的能源需求影响因素分析[J].中国电力,2017,50(9):31-36,6.基金项目
北京社科基金项目(京津冀产业协同下的能源效率提升策略研究)(15JGB050) （京津冀产业协同下的能源效率提升策略研究）
河北省软科学项目(16454302D)This work is supported by Beijing Social Science Fund (No.15JGB050) （16454302D）
Heibei Province Soft Science Project (No.16454302D) （No.16454302D）
