交通运输工程与信息学报2017，Vol.15Issue(3)：17-25,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-4747.2017.03.003
基于累积前景理论的铁路应急预案评估模型研究
A Railway Emergency Evaluation Model Based on Cumulative Prospect Theory
摘要
Abstract
To investigate the influences of psychological characteristics in decision making process, this paper proposes a railway emergency evaluation model based on the theory of analytic hierarchical process and cumulative prospect. First, the model sets up a comprehensive indexing system to evaluate the railway emergency plans. Second, it determines the weights of indices by the G1 method by the use of a balanced indexing method. Finally, it establishes a new railway emergency evaluation model by applying the cumulative prospect theory. A case study shows that the proposed method is applicable for the effective evaluation of railway emergency plans.关键词
铁路应急预案/累积前景理论/指标体系/改进层次分析法/预案评估Key words
Railway emergency plans/cumulative prospect theory/index system/improved analytic hierarchy process/evaluation of plans分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
李延来,杨强..基于累积前景理论的铁路应急预案评估模型研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2017,15(3):17-25,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助(71371156). （71371156）
