火力与指挥控制2017,Vol.42Issue(5):6-9,4.
基于前景理论的多阶段直觉模糊数决策方法
Multi-stage Intuitionistic Fuzzy Number Decision-making Methods Based on Prospect Theory
摘要
Abstract
For the multi-stage intuitionistic fuzzy number decision-making problem of aviation troops accident early warnings,in which the information on criteria weights are unknown and the criteria value of alternatives are in the form of intuitionistic fuzzy number,considering the dynamic varying by the risk preference of decision makers,a method of multi-stage decision-making based on the prospect theory is proposed.Comparing the multi-stage expected values' possibility degree the dynamic characteristic of every stage is obtained.Installing dynamic reference point according to distance expression,concentrating the lose and get,enacting a programming model the criteria dynamic weights are attained and the order of alternatives can be listed by calculating the integrated prospect values.Finally,a MATLAB simulation example is illustrated to examine the effectiveness of the method.关键词
前景理论/多阶段决策/动态参考点/直觉模糊数Key words
prospect theory/multi-stage decision-making/dynamic reference point/intuitionistic fuzzy number分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
王丽丽,聂飞..基于前景理论的多阶段直觉模糊数决策方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2017,42(5):6-9,4.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71401174) (71401174)