华南地震2017，Vol.37Issue(1)：17-21,5.DOI:10.13512/j.hndz.2017.01.003
三角级数建模对台湾地震区单步预测检验及地震趋势探讨
The Test of One-step Sliding Earthquake Prediction and the Discussion of Earthquake Trend for the Taiwan Seismic Zone Based on Modeling of Trigonometric Series Fitting
薛丁 1高立新 1丁风和 1戴勇1
作者信息
- 1. 内蒙古自治区地震局,呼和浩特市010010
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
According to research results of the active blocks and seismic region and zone division,the paper extracted extreme earthquakes occurring in each semi-year of 1960-2015 by using BMM (Block Maximum Method) in the study unit of the Taiwan seismic region.Combing the seismic structure with its extreme earthquakes,these data had the consistent feature of statistical membership,and acted on the behalf of earthquake trend changes of the study unit.From the view of cyclic superposition,the paper considered the changing process of earthquake activity,,and fired the data by using trigonometric series model of the best leastsquare.On the bases of l-step sliding recursive prediction test of earthquakes of semi-year in 2015,the earthquake trend tendency had been discussed.关键词
台湾地震区/区间极值法/最佳平方逼近/三角级数建模/递推预测检验/趋势探讨Key words
Taiwan seismic region/BBM (Block Maximum Method)/Best least-square fitting/model of trigonometric series/Test of one-step sliding earthquake prediction/Tendency discussion分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
薛丁,高立新,丁风和,戴勇..三角级数建模对台湾地震区单步预测检验及地震趋势探讨[J].华南地震,2017,37(1):17-21,5.
