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基于混合t Location-Scale分布模型的光伏功率随机性分量波动性分析

杨茂 孟玲建 李大勇 苏欣 孙涌 贾云彭

可再生能源2017,Vol.35Issue(10):1494-1499,6.
可再生能源2017,Vol.35Issue(10):1494-1499,6.

基于混合t Location-Scale分布模型的光伏功率随机性分量波动性分析

Analysis of the fluctuation of photovoltaic power random component based on mixed t Location-Scale distribution model

杨茂 1孟玲建 1李大勇 2苏欣 3孙涌 4贾云彭5

作者信息

  • 1. 东北电力大学 现代电力系统仿真控制与绿色电能新技术吉林省重点实验室,吉林 吉林 132012
  • 2. 国网通化供电公司,吉林 通化 130022
  • 3. 东北电力大学 理学院,吉林 吉林 132012
  • 4. 国网淄博供电公司,山东 淄博 255000
  • 5. 国网吉林供电公司,吉林 吉林 132012
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The fluctuation of photovoltaic power is one of the key issues that affect the stability of the grid connected photovoltaic power system. Firstly, the periodic component of power is extracted by periodogram method, and then the mixed t Location-Scale distribution model is used to fit the random component of PV power. The superiority of the proposed model in characterizing the fluctuation of random components of photovoltaic power is verified, and the validity and applicability of the proposed model under different sampling time intervals and different regions are discussed. Taking the measured data of a photovoltaic power station in an area as an example, the superiority of the mixed t Location-Scale distribution to the fluctuation of random components is proved.

关键词

随机性分量/波动性/周期图/混合tLocation-Scale分布

Key words

random component/fluctuation/periodogram/mixed t Location-Scale distribution

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

杨茂,孟玲建,李大勇,苏欣,孙涌,贾云彭..基于混合t Location-Scale分布模型的光伏功率随机性分量波动性分析[J].可再生能源,2017,35(10):1494-1499,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(51307017) (51307017)

吉林省产业技术与专项开发项目(2014Y124). (2014Y124)

可再生能源

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-5292

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