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不确定条件下能源优化配置与敏感性分析模型

刘政平 李薇 王深 黄国和 齐心

可再生能源2017,Vol.35Issue(10):1544-1550,7.
可再生能源2017,Vol.35Issue(10):1544-1550,7.

不确定条件下能源优化配置与敏感性分析模型

Energy allocation optimization combined with sensitive analysis model under uncertainty

刘政平 1李薇 1王深 1黄国和 1齐心1

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学 区域能源系统优化教育部重点实验室, 北京 102206
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the rapid growth of the world's population and economic development,the energy demand and consumption is also increasing rapidly. Optimizing the allocation of energy resources is the fundamental measures to promote energy saving and emission reduction,as well as relief the contradiction between energy supply and demand. Based on uncertain optimization methods,an optimal energy allocation model has been developed. With relevant data, the developed model has been applied to a case study within a multi-facility, multi-period and multi-demand-level context to demonstrate the feasibility. Weighing the economic targets and environmental goals,optimal resources supply,electricity and heat generation,capacity expansion and pollution control plans have been generated at the lowest system cost. Moreover,factorial method has been used for sensitivity analysis to the model results,it could address the key impact factors to the selected objective. The proposed model could be helpful for providing decision support of optimal energy allocation policies.

关键词

能源优化配置/不确定性/敏感性分析/化石能源/可再生能源

Key words

energy allocation optimization/uncertainty/sensitive analysis/fossil energy/renewable energy

分类

能源科技

引用本文复制引用

刘政平,李薇,王深,黄国和,齐心..不确定条件下能源优化配置与敏感性分析模型[J].可再生能源,2017,35(10):1544-1550,7.

基金项目

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(JB2016187). (JB2016187)

可再生能源

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-5292

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