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多阶段混合增长模型的方法及研究现状

王婧 唐文清 张敏强 张文怡 郭凯茵

心理科学进展2017,Vol.25Issue(10):1696-1704,9.
心理科学进展2017,Vol.25Issue(10):1696-1704,9.

多阶段混合增长模型的方法及研究现状

Piecewise growth mixture models and its current researches

王婧 1唐文清 2张敏强 3张文怡 1郭凯茵2

作者信息

  • 1. 华南师范大学心理学院
  • 2. 华南师范大学心理应用研究中心
  • 3. 广西大学教育学院,南宁530004
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Piecewise growth mixture models (PGMM) can be used to analyze multi-phase longitudinal data with unobserved heterogeneity in a population,and are widely applied in fields such as ability growth,social behaviors development and intervention,and clinical psychology.PGMM can be defined within both the structural equation modeling framework and the random coefficient modeling framework.Maximum likelihood via an expectation-maximization algorithm (EM-ML) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian inference (MCMC-BI) are the most commonly used methods for PGMM parameter estimation.The validity of PGMM and their parameter estimation are significantly affected by factors such as sample size,number of time points,and latent class separation.Future studies should focus on comparisons between PGMM and other growth models,and the influences of factors such as data characters and latent class attributes on the performance of parameter estimation methods under the same modeling framework or different modeling frameworks.

关键词

追踪数据/混合增长模型/多阶段混合增长模型/参数估计方法

Key words

longitudinal data/growth mixture models/piecewise growth mixture models/parameter estimation methods

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

王婧,唐文清,张敏强,张文怡,郭凯茵..多阶段混合增长模型的方法及研究现状[J].心理科学进展,2017,25(10):1696-1704,9.

基金项目

广州市教育科学“十二五”规划2014年度重大课题“基于现代教育测量学的中小学学业质量评价应用研究”(课题编号:1201411413). (课题编号:1201411413)

心理科学进展

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1671-3710

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