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基于改进熵值法的台风灾害风险趋势评估

魏章进 马华铃 唐丹玲

灾害学2017,Vol.32Issue(3):7-11,5.
灾害学2017,Vol.32Issue(3):7-11,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2017.03.002

基于改进熵值法的台风灾害风险趋势评估

Trend Assessment of Typhoon Disasters Based on the Improved Entropy Method

魏章进 1马华铃 1唐丹玲2

作者信息

  • 1. 广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院,广东广州510420
  • 2. 中国科学院南海海洋研究所,广东广州510301
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the statistical typhoon disaster data of Guangdong,Fujian,Shanghai,Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Shandong,and Guangxi provinces in the southeast coastal areas during 1990-2010,an entropy method improved by standardized transformation is used to calculate the risk assessment index of each year.Then,we use the cluster analysis to classify the comprehensive index and to analyze its change trend.Results show that the largest weight of the indicators is the collapsed houses,followed are deaths,affected area and direct economic loss;the comprehensive index of the risk assessment is larger in 1990-1997 than in 1998-2010,and the former is mainly influenced by the collapsed houses and the deaths,while the latter is influenced by the affected area and the direct economic loss;Both 1994 and 1996 are huge disaster years,and most other years are between the middle and small.

关键词

台风灾害/风险评估/熵值法/聚类分析

Key words

typhoon disasters/risk assessment/entropy method/cluster analysis

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

魏章进,马华铃,唐丹玲..基于改进熵值法的台风灾害风险趋势评估[J].灾害学,2017,32(3):7-11,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金重点项目“海洋浮游植物粒径组成分布及其相关生态因素对台风的响应-基于遥感与现场观测资料的研究”(41430968) (41430968)

21世纪海上丝绸之路协同创新中心重大项目(2015HS05) (2015HS05)

灾害学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-811X

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