北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）2017，Vol.53Issue(4)：426-435,10.DOI:10.16360/j.cnki.jbnuns.2017.04.010
中国不同时段气候变暖速率的时空分异研究(1961-2014)
Spatiotemporal patterns of different period climate warming rate in China (1961-2014)
摘要
Abstract
Different statistical methods and data from 534 meteorological stations were used to diagnose variations in average annual temperature in China from 1961-2014.Time series of annual average temperature of China presented an increasing trend.Decade trend in annual average temperature was found to be different,with the following characteristics:decrease-increase-increase-increase-decrease.Annual average temperature showed fluctuation characteristics with different time scales:2-6,20,40,and 60 years.An abrupt change was found for 1998:climate warming stopped.For spatial distributions,annual average temperature in all meteorological stations showed increases from 1961-2014.Meteorological stations with increasing trend on decade scales compared with the whole study period accounted for 2.6％,32.9％,78.8％,86.0％ and 11.2％ respectively.Especially the 1960s and 2000s showed significant decreasing trend in large areas.Annual average temperature showed significant increasing trend from 1971-2000 in large areas.Either increasing or decreasing trend,northeastern China and Qinghai-Tibet plateau showed significant variations in spatial patterns.From 2000 annual average temperature in China has showed marked stagnation,although carbon dioxide emission showed sharp rise in the same period.Different theories could possibly explain the stagnation in climate warming,although many uncertainties await further investigation.关键词
气候变暖/变化趋势/变暖停滞/区域差异/中国Key words
global warming/trend variation/climate warming stagnate/regional differences/China分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
孔锋,吕丽莉,方建,李曼,王一飞,孟永昌,杨旭..中国不同时段气候变暖速率的时空分异研究(1961-2014)[J].北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2017,53(4):426-435,10.基金项目
中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2015M582263) （2015M582263）
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金课题(2042016kf0067) （2042016kf0067）
国家自然科学基金创新研究群体资助项目(41621061) （41621061）
