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江苏省昆山市1981年-2015年肺癌死因对期望寿命和潜在减寿年影响分析

胡文斌 沈月平 张婷 秦威 史建国 仝岚 邱和泉 周杰 金亦徐 罗晓明

中国肺癌杂志2017,Vol.20Issue(9):610-616,7.
中国肺癌杂志2017,Vol.20Issue(9):610-616,7.DOI:10.3779/j.issn.1009-3419.2017.09.04

江苏省昆山市1981年-2015年肺癌死因对期望寿命和潜在减寿年影响分析

Impact of Lung Cancer Deaths on Life Expectancy and Years of Potential Life Lost from 1981 to 2015 in Kunshan, Jiangsu Province, China

胡文斌 1沈月平 2张婷 3秦威 1史建国 1仝岚 1邱和泉 1周杰 1金亦徐 1罗晓明1

作者信息

  • 1. 215300昆山,江苏省昆山市疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制科
  • 2. 215300昆山,昆山高新区社区卫生服务中心
  • 3. 215123苏州,苏州大学医学部公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Background and objective Previous reports have shown that lung cancer incidence and mortality were increasing both in male and female;however,the temporal trends in lung cancer eliminated life expectancy and potential years of life lost (PYLL) are very rare.Thus,we examine the temporal trends in lung cancer eliminated life expectancy and PYLL in Kunshan city,Jiangsu province,1981-2015.Methods Data were collected from vital registry of Kunshan city.Lung cancer eliminated life expectancy and the PYLL were calculated by sex.The Chinese population in 2000 was used to calculate age-standardized PYLL.Estimate annual percentage changes (eAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to examine the temporal trendss.Results During 1981 to 2015,substantially increasing trend was observed for the lung cancer eliminated life expectancy,which increased by 0.34 years in 1981 to 0.86 in 2015 (APC=3.2%,95%CI:2.8%-3.6%),and a significant increasing trend was found for male (APC=3.0%,95%CI:2.5%-3.5%) and female (APC=3.6%,95%CI:3.0%-4.2%).Moreover,the age-standardized PYLL among both sex (APC=-0.1%,95%CI:-0.6%-0.4%) and male (APC=-0.5%,95%CI:-1.1%-0.1%) were stable,but increasing trend was observed in females (APC=1.5%,95%CI:0.3%-2.7%).Conclusion Although there was no significant change over the past 3 decades regarding the effect of premature deaths due to lung cancer,a substantial increasing trend was observed in lung cancer eliminated life expectancy,which suggested that targeted lung cancer prevention and control measures are urgently need.

关键词

肺肿瘤/潜在减寿年/年度变化百分比/去肿瘤死因期望寿命

Key words

Lung neoplasms/Potential years of life lost/Annual percentage change/Cancer eliminated life expectancy

引用本文复制引用

胡文斌,沈月平,张婷,秦威,史建国,仝岚,邱和泉,周杰,金亦徐,罗晓明..江苏省昆山市1981年-2015年肺癌死因对期望寿命和潜在减寿年影响分析[J].中国肺癌杂志,2017,20(9):610-616,7.

基金项目

本研究受昆山市社会发展科技项目(No.KS1655)资助 This study was supported by the grant from the Social Development Science and Technology Project of Kunshan (to Wenbin HU) (No.KS1655). (No.KS1655)

中国肺癌杂志

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCDMEDLINE

1009-3419

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