海洋预报2017，Vol.34Issue(5)：74-82,9.DOI:10.11737/j.issn.1003-0239.2017.05.008
珠江口沿岸极值增水的空间分布
Spatial distribution of extreme water enhancement along the Pearl River Estuary
摘要
Abstract
The numerical model of the astronomical tide and storm surge in the Pearl River estuary region is established by using FVCOM model.The distribution characteristics of K1,O1,S2 and M2 are obtained by using harmonic analysis method.The typical typhoon storm surge processed near the Pearl River Estuary is simulated to verify the accuracy of the model.Based on the model,the influence of 100 typhoons during the years 1993-2013 in the vicinity of the Pearl River estuary is simulated.By using the Gumbel distribution,the storm surge extreme water increment is calculated.The storm surge in the west side of the Pearl River estuary is more extreme than that in the east.The once-in-a-century storm surge maximum value 3.19m appears in the middle of the town San Zao and the town Chi Xi.This paper can provide reference for storm surge protection and coastal engineering design in the Pearl River Estuary.关键词
珠江口/百年一遇/风暴增水/耿贝尔分布Key words
Pearl River Estuary/one hundred years/storm surge/Gumbel distribution分类
海洋科学引用本文复制引用
王燕妮,吕晓凤,郝嘉凌,吴亚男,邱婷,陈钰祥,左军成..珠江口沿岸极值增水的空间分布[J].海洋预报,2017,34(5):74-82,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(41576020) （41576020）
国家社会科学基金重大项目(15ZDB170) （15ZDB170）
国际合作项目课题(GASI-IPOVAI-06). （GASI-IPOVAI-06）
