中国人口·资源与环境2017，Vol.27Issue(9)：151-161,11.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170434
多维度城镇化视角下的碳排放影响因素研究——基于中国省域数据的空间杜宾面板模型
A study on the influencing factors of carbon emissions from the perspective of multi-dimensional urbanization:based on the spatial Dubin panel model of China provinces
摘要
Abstract
Urbanization and carbon emissions are the two major characteristics of economic and social development in China.China's new urbanization not only requires the harmonization of population,land and economic urbanization,but also requires the emphasis on the protection of the ecological environment in the process of urbanization and the realization of green low-carbon development.Therefore,it is of great theoretical and practical significance to explore the factors of carbon emissions from different dimensions of urbanization and compare the differences.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2008 to 2014,the carbon emissions of each province were calculated.Entropy method was used to compress the relevant indexes which characterize land urbanization and economic urbanization,and then ESDA was used to analyze the interdependence of carbon emissions between provinces.Based on the STIRPAT model,the spatial Durbin panel date model of urbanization,land urbanization and economic urbanization was constructed and analyzed empirically.The results show that there are positively spatial correlations between carbon emissions in different provinces,and economic factors contribute to this spatial correlation.Under each dimension of urbanization,population size,per capita disposable income,and carbon intensity have significant positive effects to carbon emission in one's own province and its neighboring provinces,of which the population size is the most important factor.The per capita disposable income has a significantly positive effect on carbon emissions and is in the rising stage of the environmental Kuznets curve.In the case of similar economic level,the carbon emissions of each province have the characteristics of'top-to-top competition'.Under different urbanization dimensions,the impact of each factor on carbon emissions is obviously different;However,from the point of direct effect.However in the dimensions of land urbanization,population size has the smallest impact on carbon emissions.From the point of feedback effect,in the dimension of population urbanization,the characteristics of'top-to-top competition'among provinces are the most obvious.From the point of indirect effect,per capita disposable income in the urbanization dimension of the economy has a significantly negative impact on the carbon emissions of neighboring provinces.关键词
城镇化/碳排放/空间杜宾面板模型/空间溢出效应Key words
urbanization/carbon emission/spatial Dubin panel model/spatial spillover effect分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王锋,秦豫徽,刘娟,吴从新..多维度城镇化视角下的碳排放影响因素研究——基于中国省域数据的空间杜宾面板模型[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(9):151-161,11.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目“多尺度空间视角下城市群的城镇化发展对碳排放的作用机理及其减排路径研究:以长三角为例”(批准号:71673270),“空间场视角下的中国能源基地可持续发展评价与优化”(批准号:71403268) （批准号:71673270）
教育部人文社会科学研究项目“区域低碳发展指数构建及其应用”(批准号:14YJCZH146) （批准号:14YJCZH146）
全国统计科学研究项目“时空效应视角下的区域低碳发展评价研究”(批准号:2014LZ26),“城市群城市低碳发展的空间差异与互动关系研究——以长三角为例”(批准号:2015LY14). （批准号:2014LZ26）
