中国人口·资源与环境2017，Vol.27Issue(9)：178-185,8.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170721
中国农村居民煤炭消费及影响因素研究
Residential coal consumption and its determinants in rural China
摘要
Abstract
Reducing the use of coal in rural China is a key measure to foster the energy transition in rural area and improve the air quality.To control coal consumption,it is necessary to understand the pattern of present coal consumption of rural households and identify the effectiveness measures.However,the official statistics may underestimate the coal consumption,especially for rural residential sector.The lack of accurate statistical data on rural household coal consumption has heavily hindered scientific research and the design of public policy.The major purpose of this study is to estimate the coal consumption of rural household and examine its determinants.We first used the data of the Chinese Residential Energy Consumption Survey in 2014,which systematically collected the detailed information of energy usage at the device level.Our result showed that,the coal demand of rural household was 65.857 Mtce in 2014,with average coal consumption of 347.2 kgee per household.Around 96.9％ of coal was used for space heating purpose and the coal for cooking accounted for 3.1％.Comparison of coal consumption per household and aggregated coal consumption by province showed great spatial heterogeneity.Among various regions,the rural household in China's northeastern and western regions consumed more coal than their counterparty in middle and eastern regions.Our result also showed that,seven northern provinces (Hebei,Shandong,Shandong,Shanxi,Inner Mongolia,Liaoning,Tianjin and Beijing) accounted for 55％ of the total rural residential coal consumption.More important,three provinces surrounding Beijing (Hebei,Shandong and Shanxi) contributed 46.6％ of national rural coal consumption,which may greatly aggravate the air pollution condition in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.Moreover,a regression analysis suggested that the local coal production and dwelling area was significantly and positively correlated with space heating energy consumption,while the outdoor temperature in winter and household income were not significant.In order to control the rural household coal consumption,more attention should be paid by improving rural living standard,boosting the energy transition in rural area and establishing rural energy statistical system.关键词
农村居民/煤炭消费/影响因素/散煤治理Key words
rural household/coal consumption/driving force/control measures on coal combustion分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
魏楚,王丹,吴宛忆,谢伦裕..中国农村居民煤炭消费及影响因素研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(9):178-185,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金“居民能源需求管理”(批准号:71622014) （批准号:71622014）
教育部人文社科基金“城镇化对家庭能源消费的影响”(批准号:16YJA790049) （批准号:16YJA790049）
北京市自然科学基金“北京市散煤治理政策对家庭居民用能行为和社会福利的影响研究”(批准号:9174037) （批准号:9174037）
中央在京高校重大成果转化项目“京津冀协同一体化发展研究”. （）
