中国人口·资源与环境2017,Vol.27Issue(9):212-224,13.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170448
生态文明阈值和绿值二步测度:指标-指数耦合链方法
A method of indicator-index coupling chain for two-step measurement of the threshold value and green degree of ecological civilization
摘要
Abstract
When measuring or evaluating ecological civilization,there are some difficulties as follows.In the aspect of indicators selection,evaluation objectives are vague,and the methods of indicators selection are subjective and unstructured,so that indicators are too miscellaneous and confused with common evaluation of environment and economy.In the aspect of measuring ruler,different civilization phases are measured with one ruler since the threshold of ecological civilization cannot be confirmed,so that some regions,which have not reached the phase of ecological civilization yet,get prior ranks.In the aspect of application,a synthetical indicator value integrated from numerous indicators loses their ecological and economical significances only as an abstract digit for ranking,so that the measurement results can not be understood and applied conveniently.To solve those issues,a new method of indicator-index coupling chain is developed in this paper according to the symbiotic theory of civilization evolution to derive two-step indexes of threshold value and green degree for measuring ecological civilization.A structuralized coupling chain is established from indicators system up to two-step indexes for ecological civilization measurement,by means of grounded theory,PSIR and SEM structured models,footprint family,and Lotka-Volterra model corresponded to each links of the chain respectively.The whole process focuses throughout on the essential attribute of ecological civilization,i.e.,mutualism between industry and ecology.It starts from the qualitative scientific attributes,links by the structured models of human-nature composite system,and ends up to the quantitative models of the two-step indexes of threshold value and green degree.The threshold value is represented by three indexes of force-on-industry index,force-on-ecology index and mutualism degree index,which are collectively called threshold value indexes.And green degree is represented by one index that synthetically reflects the total amount,symbiosis and equilibrium of industry and ecology in a region.Then,regional ecological civilization can be measured in two steps.The first step is phase or qualification judgment based on threshold value indexes,which represent the symbiosis types of industry and ecology,to confirm whether a region reaches the phase of ecological civilization,if not,which phase it belongs to.The second step is level judgment based on green degree index,which represent the mutualism degree of industry and ecology,to assess the development level of ecological civilization in a region that has entered into the threshold.The research shows that the method of indicator-index coupling chain not only can overcome the defects and difficulties of the single method of indicators system synthesizing method or index function method,but also can combine the advantages of the two methods.Therefore,not only the disadvantage that the measurement result of a region's ecological civilization is'proportional to'its material civilization can be avoided,but also the root causes of ecological civilization problems can be analyzed through inverse decoupling from two-step index back to indicators system,in order to put forward some effective countermeasures.关键词
生态文明测度/评价指标/生态文明指数/共生理论Lotka-Volterra模型Key words
ecological civilization measurement/evaluation indicators system/ecological civilization index/symbiosis theory/Lotka-Volterra model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张智光..生态文明阈值和绿值二步测度:指标-指数耦合链方法[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(9):212-224,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目“生态文明的阈值和水平双指数测度方法”(批准号:71673136). (批准号:71673136)