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基于贝叶斯网络的城市常规公交服务满意度分析模型

吴静娴 杨敏

东南大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.47Issue(5):1042-1047,6.
东南大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.47Issue(5):1042-1047,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2017.05.032

基于贝叶斯网络的城市常规公交服务满意度分析模型

Assessment of passenger satisfaction with urban bus service quality using Bayesian networks

吴静娴 1杨敏2

作者信息

  • 1. 东南大学城市智能交通江苏省重点实验室,南京210096
  • 2. 东南大学现代城市交通技术江苏高效协同创新中心,南京210096
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To discover the underlying relationships among service aspects and assess their influences on passenger overall satisfaction with regular bus service,a Bayesian network (BN) was developed by the greedy thick thinning (GTT) and maximum likehood estimation (MLE) algorithms based on 609 questionnaires from 2013 regular bus service survey in Nanjing,China.The established model could elaborately capture the network relationships among service attributes and passenger overall satisfac tion.The validation result proves that BN is more applicable and efficient.Among the 7 main contributors inferred by the belief propagation algorithm,the negative effect of waiting time is the most significant at-31.4% and the positive effect of onboard environment is the most significant at 33.7%.The punctuality and the convenience have larger influence ranges,from-26.6% to 23.1% and from -20.9% to 27.3%,respectively.The seat availability,environment at stations,and the provision of airconditioning onboard are the most influential with the absolute ranges up to 55%.

关键词

贝叶斯网络/公交服务/乘客满意度/贝叶斯推理

Key words

Bayesian networks/public transit service/passenger satisfaction/Bayesian inference

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

吴静娴,杨敏..基于贝叶斯网络的城市常规公交服务满意度分析模型[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),2017,47(5):1042-1047,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(51338003,51378120). (51338003,51378120)

东南大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-0505

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