干旱区地理2017，Vol.40Issue(5)：1089-1096,8.
天津市高碳排放行业碳排放影响因素研究
Influencing factors of high-emission for industrial sub-sectors in Tianjin
摘要
Abstract
The purpose of the study is to find the main influence factors of carbon emission increase and carbon emission reduction of high carbon emission industries in Tianjin City,China.Taking the 32 industrial sectors in Tianjin as research objects,based on the energy consumption data and the economic development data of the industries from 1998 to 2015,this paper calculated the carbon emissions of these industries over the years by using the method provided by IPCC emissions of greenhouse gases listing guidelines,and divided the 32 sectors into high emission industry,the middle to high emission industry,the middle emission industry,the middle and low emission industry,and low emission industry.Then LMDI was used to analyze the influence factors of carbon emission in each kind of industry,where the factors included population size,industry development,industry structure,energy consumption intensity,energy consumption structure and carbon emission coefficient.Resuits show as follows:(1) the industrial carbon emission in Tianjin kept increasing from 1998 to 2005;(2) the industrial development factor was the dominant factor for carbon emission increase,of which the accumulated contribution value was 2 612.69× 104 t,accounting for 60.28％ of total carbon emissions increase;while the energy intensity factor was the main factor for carbon emission decrease,which contributed to 97.66％ of the total carbon emission decrease;(3) the increasing speed of industrial carbon emission was related to the speed of industrial development,therefore,the industrial carbon emission can be actually decreased by adjusting the industrial structure and reducing energy intensity.This paper analyzed the influence factors of carbon emissions for high carbon emission industries in Tianjin,determined the main influence factors,and put forward the development ideas and countermeasures pointedly,which were of great importance to optimize industrial structure and construct the low carbon city in Tianjin.关键词
工业行业/碳排放/影响因素/LMDI/多因素回归Key words
industrial sector/carbon emission/influence factors/LMDI/multiple regression analysis分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
李雪梅,郝光菊,张庆..天津市高碳排放行业碳排放影响因素研究[J].干旱区地理,2017,40(5):1089-1096,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(41201581) （41201581）
天津市艺术科学规划项目(D16007) （D16007）
