水科学进展2017，Vol.28Issue(5)：681-690,10.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2017.05.005
黄河流域水资源-能源-粮食的协同优化
Study on water-energy-food collaborative optimization for Yellow River basin
摘要
Abstract
As an important energy and major grain producing area in China, the Yellow River basin has had a shortage of water resources, becoming a key factor in the restriction of energy and food development. And the system risk of wa-ter, energy and food has been escalated. An overall analysis framework model of water-energy-food based on the syner-getic theory was established in order to optimize the relationship between water resources, energy, and food. Further, a total partition structure model was built, also known as the water-energy-food collaborative optimization model with an inter-feedback function. The support, restriction, and interactive bond mechanism and intelligent multi-factor balancing algorithm were also studied. Finally, the integration of the collaborative optimization distribution scheme and strategy for food production, energy, and water resource utilization in the Yellow River basin was demonstrated. Results show that, by collaborative optimization and comprehensive allocation of water resources, energy, and food, the average annual wa-ter supply is expected to be 53. 560 billion m3 , increased by 2. 398 billion m3 . Both the food production distribution and energy production structure and scale are to be optimized;with an increase of 12%, per capita yield of food will reach 416 kg. Coal mining, oil mining, and total thermal power installed capacity will increase by 2. 86 times, 4. 08 times, and 0. 80 times, respectively. According to the results, a guaranteed degree of water resources for energy development and food production security can be significantly improved, with domestic and ecological water demand given the highest priority in the model. Meanwhile, increased food and energy production can be realized, as well.关键词
水资源/能源/粮食/协同优化/布局/黄河流域Key words
water resources/energy/food/collaborative optimization/distribution/Yellow River basin分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
彭少明,郑小康,王煜,蒋桂芹..黄河流域水资源-能源-粮食的协同优化[J].水科学进展,2017,28(5):681-690,10.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目( 2017YFC0404404 （）
2017YFC0404604) The study is financially supported by the National Key R&D Program of China( No. 2017YFC0404404 （）
No. 2017YFC0404604) . （）
