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计及高比例可再生能源运行特性的中长期电力发展分析

王耀华 焦冰琦 张富强 冯君淑 伍声宇

电力系统自动化2017,Vol.41Issue(21):9-16,8.
电力系统自动化2017,Vol.41Issue(21):9-16,8.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20170612001

计及高比例可再生能源运行特性的中长期电力发展分析

Medium and Long-term Electric Power Development Considering Operating Characteristicsof High Proportion of Renewable Energy

王耀华 1焦冰琦 1张富强 1冯君淑 1伍声宇1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网能源研究院,北京市 102209
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In the face of increasingly severe climate change and environmental deterioration problems,the energy development mode of high consumption and high emission for the past will not be sustainable.A cleaning and low-carbon development mode,which will be achieved by utilizing large-scale renewable energy as the main energy supply system,especially as the main power supply system,can be an alternative choice to cope with the challenge of future energy transformation.Firstly,a research methodology for the medium and long-term electric power development to consider high proportion of renewable energy is introduced.Then,a multi-region multi-scenario medium and long-term electric power planning model with the objective of minimizing the cost of power supply of the whole society is presented,in which the constraints of power system expansion planning,operation,power generation resources,policy,and others are taken into account.The model integrates a power system operation model and the panning model in a moderate way,so the randomness and volatility of wind/photovoltaic and other renewable energy can be reflected in the process of power system planning.Finally,the power supply patterns and power flows of China's power systems with high proportion of renewable energy and the operation results in 2050 are analyzed based on the proposed planning model.

关键词

电力发展/可再生能源/高比例/多区域/多场景/规划与运行/运行模拟

Key words

electric power development/renewable energy/high proportion/multi-region/multi-scenario/planning and operation/operation simulation

引用本文复制引用

王耀华,焦冰琦,张富强,冯君淑,伍声宇..计及高比例可再生能源运行特性的中长期电力发展分析[J].电力系统自动化,2017,41(21):9-16,8.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划资助项目(2016YFB0900100) (2016YFB0900100)

国家电网公司科技项目"电网 2050 功能形态与发展路径研究".This work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFB0900100) and State Grid Corporation of China. (No.2016YFB0900100)

电力系统自动化

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-1026

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