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互连耦合网络的SIR传染病模型

李淑萍

中北大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.38Issue(5):505-512,543,9.
中北大学学报(自然科学版)2017,Vol.38Issue(5):505-512,543,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-3193.2017.05.001

互连耦合网络的SIR传染病模型

SIR Infectious Disease Model on Interconnected Coupling Networks

李淑萍1

作者信息

  • 1. 中北大学 理学院,山西 太原 030051
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Referring to different transmission probabilities of intra-layer contacts and inter-layer con-tacts,an infectious model on interconnected networks with intra-layer and inter-layer contact patterns was proposed.With the framework of probability generation function,the surface of the critical value could accurately be obtained,which helped to evaluate whether the disease would be epidemic or not, and the average size of infection when there was no epidemic.Interestingly,it is unveiled that,com-pared with the case of purely inter-layer contact,the outbreak threshold of inter-layer transmission is o-verestimated in the bipartite network and inter-layer transmission plays a determinate role in activating the larger-scale infection.In addition,it is shown that intra-layer transmission is the maj or risk of in-creasing the number of disease incidences before the formal outbreak of diseases.

关键词

互连耦合网络/渗流/概率生成函数/流行阈值/平均暴发规模

Key words

interconnected coupling network/percolation/probability generating function/epidemic threshold/average outbreak size

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

李淑萍..互连耦合网络的SIR传染病模型[J].中北大学学报(自然科学版),2017,38(5):505-512,543,9.

基金项目

山西省应用基础研究面上青年基金项目(201601D021015) (201601D021015)

中北大学学报(自然科学版)

1673-3193

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