农业现代化研究2017,Vol.38Issue(6):930-937,8.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2017.0094
花生价格对农户生产决策与收益的影响分析 ——基于规模分化的视角
The impacts of peanut price changes on farmers' planting decisions and benefits:From the scale differentiation perspective
摘要
Abstract
Based on the micro survey data of 668 farmers from 2011 to 2014 and applying the panel regression model and the comprehensive index analysis model, this paper analyzed the relationship between peanut price and production decision and economic returns, and examined the impacts of peanut price changes on farmers' production decisions and economic returns from different operation scale perspective. Results show that: 1) there is no obvious relationship between peanut prices and operation scales, meaning that peanut prices are determined by the market, not by the endogenous farmers; 2) the impacts of price changes on farmers' production decisions are related to operation scales with an inverted "U" shape relationship. While the impact indexes of price changes on small, medium and large-scale farms are 0.257, 0.348 and 0.121, respectively; and 3) peanut price changes imposed different impacts on farmers' economic returns for different production scales, with impact indexes of 73.12%, 64.63%, and 78.27% for small, medium, and large farms, respectively. Therefore, this paper suggests to actively and steadily promote the appropriate scale of operation, to give full consideration to the differences in the size of different operations, to strengthen government support policies, and to reform agricultural insurance.关键词
经营规模/价格变化/生产决策/种植收益/花生Key words
operation scale/price changes/production decisions/economic returns/peanut分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
周曙东,乔辉..花生价格对农户生产决策与收益的影响分析 ——基于规模分化的视角[J].农业现代化研究,2017,38(6):930-937,8.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目(13&ZD160) (13&ZD160)
国家现代农业(花生)产业技术体系 - 产业经济(CARS-13-09B). Major Program of National Social Science Foundation of China (13&ZD160) (花生)
China Agriculture Research System (CARS-13-09B). (CARS-13-09B)