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江淮梅雨季节强降雨过程特征分析

李勇 金荣花 周宁芳 蔡芗宁 鲍媛媛

气象学报2017,Vol.75Issue(5):717-728,12.
气象学报2017,Vol.75Issue(5):717-728,12.DOI:10.11676/qxxb2017.052

江淮梅雨季节强降雨过程特征分析

An analysis on characteristics of heavy rainfall processes during the Meiyu season in Jianghuai region

李勇 1金荣花 1周宁芳 1蔡芗宁 1鲍媛媛1

作者信息

  • 1. 国家气象中心,北京,100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to facilitate the identification of heavy rainfall during the rainy season in the Yangtze River valley,an objective method to classify strong rainfall processes during the rainy season in Yangtze-Huaihe region is proposed,and the characteristics of heavy rainfall processes during the rainy season in Yangtze-Huaihe are analyzed.The results show that the method can effectively classify heavy rainfall processes during the rainy season in Yangtze-Huaihe,and the results are in good agreement with the existing results from operational forecasts.The method proposed in the present study is convenient for operational application.There exist obvious inter-annual variations in heavy rainfall process during the Meiyu period in the YangtzeHuaihe region,which are closely related to the intensity of the Meiyu front in Yangtze-Huaihe region.There are more heavy rainfall processes and rainy days and shorter intervals between rainfall events in strong Meiyu years.Persistent,repetitive,heavy and frequent rainfall events are usually presented in strong Meiyu years in Yangtze-Huaihe region.The situations are opposite in weak Meiyu years.In the past 56 years,accumulative amount of heavy rainfall during the Meiyu period demonstrates a linear increasing trend in the entire Yangtze-Huaihe region,and the area of most obvious increase is located in southern Jiangsu and northern Zhejiang.Spatial distribution of accumulative rainfall is consistent with that of accumulated heavy rainfall days during the Meiyu period.The largest regional centers are located in southwestern Anhui,northeastern Jiangxi and eastern Hubei.According to results of the objective method proposed in this paper,the accumulated rainfall caused by heavy rainfall processes and the total precipitation in the Meiyu period have similar spatial and temporal variations.

关键词

江淮/梅雨季节/梅雨期/强降雨过程/特征分析

Key words

Yangtze-Huaihe region/Rainy season/Meiyu period/Heavy rainfall processes/Characteristics

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

李勇,金荣花,周宁芳,蔡芗宁,鲍媛媛..江淮梅雨季节强降雨过程特征分析[J].气象学报,2017,75(5):717-728,12.

基金项目

国家科技支撑项目(2015BAC03B04、2015BAC03B07)和国家自然科学基金项目(41575066). (2015BAC03B04、2015BAC03B07)

气象学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

0577-6619

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