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基于干旱事件过程的农业旱灾风险评估研究——以辽西北为例

屈艳萍 吕娟 苏志诚 王亚许 孙洪泉

中国水利水电科学研究院学报2017,Vol.15Issue(5):329-337,9.
中国水利水电科学研究院学报2017,Vol.15Issue(5):329-337,9.DOI:10.13244/j.cnki.jiwhr.2017.05.001

基于干旱事件过程的农业旱灾风险评估研究——以辽西北为例

Research on agricultural drought disaster risk assessment based on the drought event process——A case study in Northwest of Liaoning Province

屈艳萍 1吕娟 2苏志诚 1王亚许 2孙洪泉1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038
  • 2. 水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心,北京100038
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Scientific drought disaster risk assessment is considered to be the core content and key element.in drought disaster risk management.Taking into consideration both the definition and physical mechanism of drought disaster risk,we have proposed the physical principle and conceptual model of drought disaster risk assessment based on the drought event process,and formulated a set of technical procedures correspondingly.To promote the practical application of this risk assessment method,we have carried out a case study in northwest of Liaoning Province,characterized by frequent and severe drought.The result indicates that drought disaster risk assessment based on drought event process has a strong physical meaning.This method shows a great value of future promotion,which can be employed to evaluate the potential drought loss quickly and then provide reference for drought decision making.

关键词

旱灾风险评估/干旱事件过程/干旱频率/旱灾损失

Key words

drought disaster risk assessment/drought event process/drought frequency/drought disaster loss

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

屈艳萍,吕娟,苏志诚,王亚许,孙洪泉..基于干旱事件过程的农业旱灾风险评估研究——以辽西北为例[J].中国水利水电科学研究院学报,2017,15(5):329-337,9.

基金项目

中国水利水电科学研究院团队建设及人才培养类项目(JZ0145B752017,JZ0145B582017) (JZ0145B752017,JZ0145B582017)

中国水利水电科学研究院学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

2097-096X

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