福建农林大学学报（自然科学版）2017，Vol.46Issue(6)：685-691,7.DOI:10.13323/j.cnki.j.fafu(nat.sci.).2017.06.014
基于Logistic-CA-Markov模型的龙海市土地利用/覆被变化与模拟
Spatial simulation and analysis of land use and land cover change of Longhai City based on Logistic-CA-Markov model
摘要
Abstract
To predict land use changes in Longhai City, land use data in 2002, 2008 and 2014 were firstly converted by IDRISI software, and spatial distribution probability of various land types was generated from Logistic-CA-Markov model. The results showed that in the scenario of extensive development area of arable land dropped mostly among all land use types, which was followed by forest land and garden. While area of construction land expanded sharply. When it comes to urban planning and regional development scenario, conversions of land use types with ecological functions to construction land was alleviated, so that arable land was protec-ted to certain extent. Therefore, policy guidance and implementation of land use constraints are conducive to sustainable development of land.关键词
土地利用/Logistic-CA-Markov模型/预测/龙海市Key words
land use and land cover change/Logistic-CA-Markov model/prediction/Longhai City分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
陈训争,范胜龙,林晓丹,黄炎和..基于Logistic-CA-Markov模型的龙海市土地利用/覆被变化与模拟[J].福建农林大学学报（自然科学版）,2017,46(6):685-691,7.基金项目
福建省自然科学基金资助项目(2015J01624). （2015J01624）
