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基于流程仿真的物资接收系统可靠性预计方法

胡斌 狄鹏 刘刚

火力与指挥控制2017,Vol.42Issue(11):14-18,5.
火力与指挥控制2017,Vol.42Issue(11):14-18,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2017.11.04

基于流程仿真的物资接收系统可靠性预计方法

Reliability Prediction Method of Ship Supplies Receive System Based on Flow Simulation

胡斌 1狄鹏 1刘刚1

作者信息

  • 1. 海军工程大学,武汉 430033
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aiming at the calculation of time for receiving the ship supplies,the consideration of equipment failures is added,and the calculation problem is converted to by introducing the concept of receive time reliability. To solve the problem of reliability prediction,system reliability prediction method based on flow simulation is proposed. Firstly,the work flow of supplies receive system is analyzed. Secondly,the simulation of the work flow is achieved. Finally,the reliability of supplies receive system is solved by Monte Carlo method,and the influence of different reliability levels of equipment to supplies receive system. The simulation results indicate that the assessment of supplies receiving time is closer to the actual after the equipment failures is considered. The model of the reliability prediction method based on flow simulation is easier to understand and the conclusion is more specific.

关键词

可靠性预计/流程仿真/物资接收系统/船舶备航阶段

Key words

reliability prediction/flow simulation/supplies receive system/ship preparing phase

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

胡斌,狄鹏,刘刚..基于流程仿真的物资接收系统可靠性预计方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2017,42(11):14-18,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(71401171) (71401171)

海军工程大学自然科学基金(HGDQNEQJJ15017) (HGDQNEQJJ15017)

军队院校2110工程基金资助项目 ()

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-0640

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