江西农业学报2017，Vol.29Issue(12)：115-120,6.DOI:10.19386/j.cnki.jxnyxb.2017.12.23
广东省耕地资源数量与经济发展关系的实证分析
An Empirical Analysis of Relationship between Cultivated Land Quantity and Economic Development in Guangdong Province
摘要
Abstract
Based on the statistical data of cultivated land area and three industrial output values during 1985～2015,the au-thor studied the dynamic evolution relationship between cultivated land quantity and economic development of Guangdong province by several econometric methods such as co-integration analysis,impulse response function,and variance decomposition. The re-search results showed that:there existed a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between cultivated land quantity and eco-nomic development;the development of three kinds of industries affected the cultivated land quantity in different directions and to different extents,and as far as the present industrial structure and developmental level in Guangdong province were concerned, controlling the quantity of cultivated land could limit the economic development in some degrees;the primary and tertiary indus-tries developed at the price of exhausting cultivated land area,but the decrease in cultivated land area had no significant influ-ences on the development of three kinds of industries. Therefore,in order to reduce the dependence of economic development on cultivated land,improve the quality of land use,and achieve the sustainable land use and economic development,we should took some positive measures from the aspects of industrial agglomeration,industrial structure,land-saving technique,idle land and so on.关键词
耕地/脉冲响应函数/方差分解/经济发展/广东省Key words
Cultivated land/Impulse response function/Variance decomposition/Economic development/Guangdong province分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
成量,王尚九,王卫,梁舒..广东省耕地资源数量与经济发展关系的实证分析[J].江西农业学报,2017,29(12):115-120,6.基金项目
韶关市哲学社会科学规划课题(Q2016005) （Q2016005）
广东省大学生创新训练项目(201710576034) （201710576034）
韶关市科技计划项目(201609) （201609）
韶关学院科研项目(S201501016). （S201501016）
