气候变化研究进展2017，Vol.13Issue(6)：517-525,9.DOI:10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2017.038
人类活动影响下的北京地区气候承载力初步评估
The Preliminary Assessment on Climatic Carrying Capacity Under the Influence of Human Activities in Beijing Area
摘要
Abstract
Based on the current climate condition, the characteristic of environment and the intensity of human activities during the social and economic development in Beijing area, an evaluation index system of climatic carrying capacity was built in Beijing area. The climatic carrying capacity influenced by human activities was assessed, the spatial distribution of climatic carrying capacity and its elements were analyzed, the comparative carrying capacity of different districts/counties and the main restriction factors of carrying capacity were highlighted. The results suggest that the index of Beijing climatic carrying capacity in this research changes between 0.24 and 2.24, which is high in the districts of Yanqing county, Miyun county and Changping districts, but low in center six citys and Shunyi and Fangshan districts, and moderate in Haidian, Daxing, Huairou, Mentougou, Pinggu and Tongzhou districts. The spatial difference of climatic carrying capacity is small in Dongcheng, Xicheng, Fengtai, Shunyi and Chaoyang districts, but it is large in these suburb districts such as Yanqing county, Huairou district and Mentougou district, due to the differences of geographical characteristics and ecological environment primarily. As to the elements of climatic carrying capacity, Huairou district, Yanqing county, and Mentougou district mainly are restricted by climate resources; the main restriction factors of climatic carrying capacity in city/town area and Fangshan district are because of the intensity of human activities and ecological environment. In terms of specific indicators, the climatic carrying capacity in the city/town area is mainly caused by population density, greenbelt area and the production and living emissions. The main influence factor of climatic carrying capacity in the Shijingshan district is poor air quality, but in Fangshan district, besides poor air quality, higher energy consumption is another important factor.关键词
气候承载力/气候资源/人类活动/生态环境/气候影响评估/北京地区Key words
climatic carrying capacity/climate resources/human activities/ecological environment/climate impact assessment/Beijing area引用本文复制引用
岳溪柳,於琍,黄玫,吴绍洪,周波涛,徐影..人类活动影响下的北京地区气候承载力初步评估[J].气候变化研究进展,2017,13(6):517-525,9.基金项目
资助项目:中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF201530) （CCSF201530）
