西安理工大学学报2017，Vol.33Issue(3)：276-281,6.DOI:10.19322/j.cnki.issn.1006-4710.2017.03.005
基于可持续发展理念的通辽市农牧发展格局优化研究
Optimization of the development pattern of agriculture and animal husbandry in Tongliao based on the idea of sustainable development
摘要
Abstract
As a typical ecologically vulnerable area of the farming-pasturing interlaced areas in the northern China,Tongliao has been practicing long-term agricultural development policies,leading to the imbalance of agricultural and pastoral pattern.The main consequence of this situation is the too high proportion of irrigation farming industry,resulting in a lot of water resources consumed in the inefficient agricultural farming sector and insufficient water for the development of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry as well as the ecological environment,and thus the development of other industrial sectors and the overall region was restricted.In this paper,the simulation method of system dynamics is used to simulate the social and economic development status of Tongliao under different agricultural and pastoral land use patterns,including "intensive-agriculture development pattern","agriculture-focused development pattern","low-agriculture development pattern","pasture-focused development pattern" and "intensive-pasture development pattern".Besides,the genetic projection pursuit method was adopted to optimize the simulation results.The conclusions are as follows:1) the agricultural and pastoral development pattern is the key factor influencing the sustainable development of the farming-pasturing interlaced area;2) the current agricultural and pastoral development pattern of Tongliao cannot support the sustainable development of the city;3) optimizing the current agricultural and pastoral development pattern of Tongliao is an indispensable step for achieving the sustainable development of the city;4) this study can provide reference for achieving the sustainable development of the farming-pasturing interlaced area.关键词
通辽市/农牧发展格局/可持续发展/系统动力学Key words
Tongliao/agriculture and animal husbandry pattern/sustainable development/system dynamics分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
徐冬平,薛小杰,朱记伟..基于可持续发展理念的通辽市农牧发展格局优化研究[J].西安理工大学学报,2017,33(3):276-281,6.基金项目
国家水利部公益资助项目(201501031) （201501031）
国家自然科学基金资助项目(51479160) （51479160）
