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引发产业变革的颠覆性技术内涵与遴选研究

孙永福 王礼恒 孙棕檀 王崑声 胡良元 崔剑 徐源 康熙瞳

中国工程科学2017,Vol.19Issue(5):9-16,8.
中国工程科学2017,Vol.19Issue(5):9-16,8.DOI:10.15302/J-SSCAE-2017.05.002

引发产业变革的颠覆性技术内涵与遴选研究

Connotation and Selection of Disruptive Technologies that Lead Industrial Change

孙永福 1王礼恒 1孙棕檀 2王崑声 2胡良元 2崔剑 2徐源 2康熙瞳2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国工程院,北京 100088
  • 2. 中国航天系统科学与工程研究院,北京 100048
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Disruptive technologies that lead industrial change have many characteristics,including technological breakthrough,product substitution,market universality,and industrial transformation,all of which have profound impact on social development and people's lives.First,from the industry and technology perspectives,this article proposes the connotation and selection of disruptive technologies that lead industrial change.Next,the corresponding index evaluation system is established.Lastly,through two rounds of questionnaire surveys utilizing qualitative and quantitative methods,this article selects approximately 20 disruptive technologies that are currently leading the industrial change;subsequent analysis provides support for further study on the law between disruptive technology and the industrial revolution,as well as carrying out technical forecasting.

关键词

产业变革/颠覆性技术/指标评价体系/遴选/调查问卷

Key words

industrial change/disruptive technologies/index evaluation system/selection/questionnaire survey

分类

通用工业技术

引用本文复制引用

孙永福,王礼恒,孙棕檀,王崑声,胡良元,崔剑,徐源,康熙瞳..引发产业变革的颠覆性技术内涵与遴选研究[J].中国工程科学,2017,19(5):9-16,8.

基金项目

中国工程院咨询项目“引发产业变革的重大颠覆性技术预测研究”(2016-ZD-12) (2016-ZD-12)

中国工程科学

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1009-1742

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