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基于FANP的室外公共场所人群踩踏风险评价

刘思施 谢科范 曹青

工业工程2017,Vol.20Issue(6):16-21,6.
工业工程2017,Vol.20Issue(6):16-21,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-7375.e17-3204

基于FANP的室外公共场所人群踩踏风险评价

An Assessment of Human Stampede Risk in Outdoor Public Places Based on FANP

刘思施 1谢科范 1曹青1

作者信息

  • 1. 武汉理工大学 管理学院,湖北 武汉 430070
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摘要

Abstract

To assess the human stampede risk in outdoor public places, the triggering factors of human stampede are summarized with theoretical analysis and case study. The Fuzzy Analytic Network Process (FANP) approach is employed to assess human stampede risk in outdoor public places. Based on the questionnaires and experts' assessment, the super matrix, weighted super matrix and limit matrix are computed by the Super Decision (SD) software. As is shown in the results of the model, the facility factor (O1), field obstacle (O2) and crowd density (I1) show significant effect on the human stampede risk, the comprehensive evaluation values of them are respectively 0.128, 0.116, and 0.108. An overall risk rating of human stampede risk is then obtained from calculating and reordering the comprehensive evaluation values. Then, based on calculation sample from real place photographed video, the risk metric of human stampede is obtained.

关键词

人群踩踏/风险评价/模糊网络分析/风险分级

Key words

human stampede/risk evaluation/FANP/risk classification

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

刘思施,谢科范,曹青..基于FANP的室外公共场所人群踩踏风险评价[J].工业工程,2017,20(6):16-21,6.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金重点资助项目(15AGL021) (15AGL021)

工业工程

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

1007-7375

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