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基于共轭先验分布的圆钢管混凝土短柱抗压概率模型分析

吕贝贝 谭朝明

硅酸盐通报2017,Vol.36Issue(12):3999-4009,11.
硅酸盐通报2017,Vol.36Issue(12):3999-4009,11.

基于共轭先验分布的圆钢管混凝土短柱抗压概率模型分析

Probabilistic Compressive Strength Model for Concrete Filled Circular Steel Tubular Column Based on Conjugate Prior Distribution

吕贝贝 1谭朝明1

作者信息

  • 1. 山西大同大学,大同 037003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on existing research and the application of Bayesian multivariate linear parameter estimation method , probabilistic models for calculating the compressive strength of concrete filled circular steel tubular column are established based on the Bayesian theory .Two types of information , the prior models that compressive capacity calculation formulas in Chinese code GB 50396-2014 , code AISC360-2010 and code AIJ-SRC01 , and the prior information that the collected 170 test results , are synthesized into Bayesian statistical inference and Bayesian posterior estimate for unknown parameters based on conjugate prior distribution .It shows that the compressive strengths obtained by the simplified models based on Bayesian are in good agreement with test results , and they are closer to the experimental values than the results designed by models in code .The simplified models can be used in the compressive strength prediction and design for concrete filled circular steel tubular column .

关键词

贝叶斯参数估计/圆钢管混凝土短柱/误差分析/概率模型/抗压强度

Key words

Bayesian parameter estimation/concrete filled circular steel tubular column/errors analysis/probabilistic model/compressive strength

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

吕贝贝,谭朝明..基于共轭先验分布的圆钢管混凝土短柱抗压概率模型分析[J].硅酸盐通报,2017,36(12):3999-4009,11.

硅酸盐通报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1001-1625

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