中国电力2017，Vol.50Issue(12)：1-4,4.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201709001
经济转型时期电力弹性系数应用
The Application of Electricity Elasticity Coefficient During Economic Transition Period
摘要
Abstract
Based on an analysis of the variation of China's electricity elasticity coefficient since 1978,this paper elaborates the reasons for the large variation of China's electricity elasticity coefficient in the short term,and finds out the long-term pattern of the variation.Through comparison with the developed countries' experience in electricity elasticity coefficient variation,a method is proposed for the application of electricity elasticity coefficient during economic transition period,and a check is made on the power demand forecasting for the 13th,14th and 15th Five-Year Periods (2016-2020,2021-2025 and 2026-2030,respectively).关键词
电力弹性系数/经济社会发展/电力消费增长/电力需求预测Key words
electricity elasticity coefficient/economic and social development/electricity consumption growth/power demand forecasting分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
单葆国,李江涛,谭显东,单保平..经济转型时期电力弹性系数应用[J].中国电力,2017,50(12):1-4,4.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2016YFB0900100) （2016YFB0900100）
国家电网公司科技项目(XM2017020034761)This work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (No.2016YFB0900100) and the Science and Technology Project of SGCC (No.XM2017020034761). （XM2017020034761）
