中国电力2017，Vol.50Issue(12)：5-9,5.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201708230
经济新常态下中国全社会用电量与GDP增速差距研究
Study on the Difference Between China's Total Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth Under the New Normal
摘要
Abstract
Since China's economy entered a new normal,the growth rate of total electricity consumption has been lower than that of GDP,and in some years,their difference is large.A model is established in this paper for calculating the difference between the electricity consumption and GDP growth rate,which is mainly composed of structure effect,intensity effect and residential effect.The model can comprehensively and scientifically measure the specific compositions of the gap between the total electricity consumption and GDP growth rate and analyze the main reasons for their gap.It is found through the model calculation that the total electricity consumption growth rate from the year 2012 to 2016 is lower than that of GDP by 2.3,0.2,3.2,5.9 and 1.8 percentage points,respectively,of which the intensity effect makes the total electricity consumption growth rate lower than that of GDP by 2.7,0.4,1.9,4.9 and 1.5 percentage points respectively,while the structure effect makes the electricity consumption growth rate 0.1 higher,0.1 higher,0.6 lower,0.8 lower and 0.8 lower than the GDP growth rate in percentage points,respectively,and the residential effect makes the electricity consumption growth rate 0.3 higher,0.1 higher,0.7 lower,0.2 lower,0.5 higher than the GDP growth rate in percentage points,respectively.The calculation results show that the intensity effect is the key reason for the total electricity consumption growth rate being lower than that of GDP.关键词
GDP增速/用电量增速/新常态/差距Key words
GDP growth rate/electricity consumption growth rate/new normal/gap分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
谭显东,单葆国,吴姗姗,单保平..经济新常态下中国全社会用电量与GDP增速差距研究[J].中国电力,2017,50(12):5-9,5.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2016YFB0900100) （2016YFB0900100）
国家电网公司科技项目(XM2017020034761)This work is supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China (No.2016YFB0900100) and the Science and Technology Project of SGCC (No.XM2017020034761). （XM2017020034761）
