中国电力2017，Vol.50Issue(12)：22-26,5.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201708230
辽宁省经济指标与电力需求相关性分析
Correlation Analysis on Economic Indicators and Electric Power Demand of Liaoning Province
摘要
Abstract
Electric power plays an increasingly important role in economic development.It is important for accurate power demand prediction to understand the interaction between electric power demand and economic growth.Based on the economic development and electric power demand of Liaoning Province during 2005-2016,this paper analyzes the influence of economic structure adjustment on electric power demand.The data of main economic indicators of Liaoning Province are selected for a correlation analysis of electric power demand.Such strong correlation indicators as public financial expenditure budget,gross domestic product (GDP) and total freight volume are used to establish a forecasting model of total electricity consumption by using the ridge regression analysis method,and the electric power demand of Liaoning Province during the 13th Five-Year Plan period (2016-2020) is predicted,which can provide the basis for the decision-making of government departments and the power supply companies.关键词
经济指标/电力需求/回归分析/预测Key words
economic indicators/electric power demand/regression analysis/prediction分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
邓鑫阳,蒋蕾,李雍睿,于海洋..辽宁省经济指标与电力需求相关性分析[J].中国电力,2017,50(12):22-26,5.基金项目
国家电网公司科技项目(5222JJ17000X) （5222JJ17000X）
国网辽宁省电力有限公司科技项目(5222JJ170010)This work is supported by the Science and Technology Project of SGCC (No.5222JJ17000X) and the Science and Technology Project of State Grid Liaoning Elcetric Power Company (No.5222JJ170010). （5222JJ170010）
