中国防痨杂志2017，Vol.39Issue(11)：1212-1217,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6621.2017.11.012
基于Flexible空间扫描统计量的广西学校结核病流行病学分析
Epidemiological analysis of tuberculosis among students in Guangxi based on flexibly shaped spatial scan statistics
摘要
Abstract
Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of tuberculosis (TB) among students in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region based on the flexibly shaped spatial scan statistics providing specific references for student TB control and prevention.Methods The data of student TB cases in Guangxi were collected from National Notifiable Disease Reported System (NNDRS) from January 1st 2014 to December 31st 2016.We performed descriptive analysis to identify epidemiological characteristics of tuberculosis among students.We aggregated the reported student TB patients during this period as the spatial data and conducted the flexibly shaped spatial scan to detect the clusters and to matched the location of public health emergency of TB in school which had been reported.Finally,we evaluated the application of flexibly shaped spatial scan statistics.Results The total number of student TB cases collected between 2014 and 2016 from NNDRS was 4909.The incidence rates among student population from January 1st 2014 to December 31st 2016 were 17.90/100 000 population (1563/8 731 588),16.45/100 000 population (1502/9 131 701) and 17.45/100 000 population (1844/10 566 235) in respective years.The incidence among male student is higher than female students (18.03/100 000 population (2708/15 019 371) vs 16.41/100 000 population (2201/13 410 153)).Five hot spots were detected by flexibly shaped spatial scan between January 1st 2014 and December 31st 2016,which were in consistence with the five reported public health emergency of student TB clusters.Conclusion Flexibly shaped spatial scan statistics is flexible and precise for identifying the high TB incidence clusters.It can be applied to identify the upcoming outbreaks as an early warning tool.关键词
结核,肺/人群监测/学生/传染病控制/数据说明,统计/Flexible空间扫描统计量Key words
Tuberculosis, pulmonary/Population surveillance/Students/Communicable disease control/Data interpretation, statistical/Flexible spatial scan statistics引用本文复制引用
林定文,崔哲哲,潘冬香,林玫,苏华斌..基于Flexible空间扫描统计量的广西学校结核病流行病学分析[J].中国防痨杂志,2017,39(11):1212-1217,6.基金项目
广西卫生计生委科研课题(Z2016435) （Z2016435）
