中国人口·资源与环境2017,Vol.27Issue(11):215-224,10.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20170447
双控行动下流域初始水权分配的多层递阶决策模型
Modeling for multi-layer hierarchical decision-making of initial water rights allocation in the river basin with water resources dual control action
摘要
Abstract
Taken the practice of initial water rights allocation in the fiver basin as reference,combined with the hierarchy of ' basinprovince-city-industry',under the system constraint of controlling total amount and the intensity of water use,multi-layer hierarchical decision-making model of initial water rights allocation in the river basin is given to simulate the process of the democratic consultation among related stakeholders of water rights' demanders in different hierarchy and administrative arbitration of water rights' supplier at the higher level,to realize water right allocation of 'basin-province-city-industry'with fairness and efficiency,and optimize the comprehensive benefits of socio-economy in the river basin.Then,the iterative algorithm is given based on multi-layer hierarchical decision-making model to solve the model of allocating initial water rights in the river basin and verify the effectiveness of the model in Daling River basin,combined with the practice of allocating initial water rights.The innovation of the method enbodied two aspects.First,the objective functions of 'basin-province-city-industry'effectively maximize the gross domestic product (GDP) in the whole river basin,and embody economic efficiency in the river basin under double control action.At the same time,the objective functions effectively maximize the coordinated satisfaction degree among provinces,cities in the river basin,and reflect social fairness of under the restriction of controlling water-using total amount.Second,the constraint conditions of ' basin-province-city-industry'are given,to effectively ensure the matching relation between water rights distribution proportion and social-economy development index,improve the coupling coordinated development validity,effectively reach expected water-using target among industries,and embody social-economy development demand of ' basin-province'level,' province-city'level and water use demand of ' city-industry'level.According to the muhi-layer hierarchical decision-making results of initial water rights allocation practice in Daling River basin,the comprehensive satisfaction degree of social-economy benefit reaches 0.993 4.Water rights distribution proportions of Inner Mongolia,Liaoning and Hebei are 4.939%,93.731% and 1.330%.Compared with water rights allocation results of the pilot program of Ministry of Water Resources,the results of multi-layer hierarchical decision-making model is in conformity with the pilot program of Ministry of Water Resources.关键词
流域/初始水权分配/目标函数/约束条件/多层递阶决策模型Key words
basin/initial water fights allocation/objective function/constraint condition/multi-layer hierarchical decision-making model分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
吴丹,王亚华..双控行动下流域初始水权分配的多层递阶决策模型[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2017,27(11):215-224,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目“三条红线刚性约束下流域初始水权分配模式与优化分配模型研究”(批准号:71603004) (批准号:71603004)
国家社科基金重大项目“中国特色水权市场制度体系研究”(批准号:15ZDB164) (批准号:15ZDB164)
北方工业大学—清华大学合作项目“初始水权分配技术与制度创新研究”(批准号:20160099) (批准号:20160099)
北方工业大学青年拔尖人才培育计划项目“协调发展视角下京津冀科技资源配置效率评价体系研究”(批准号:XN018035). (批准号:XN018035)