生态与农村环境学报2018，Vol.34Issue(1)：46-53,8.DOI:10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2018.01.006
新疆农业现代化进程中的碳排放效应
Carbon Emission Effect of the Process of Agricultural Modernization in Xinjiang
摘要
Abstract
Based on the statistical data of the years from 1995 to 2015, carbon emission effect of the process of agricultur-al modernization in Xinjiang was studied using the emission coefficient method, Granger test and cointegration test. Results show: ( 1 ) Total carbon emission and carbon emissions from agricultural chemicals, agricultural mechanics and agricultural water conservancy all exhibited an apparent upward trend in the process of agricultural modernization in Xin-jiang, while carbon emission intensity did a fluctuating downward one; ( 2) The agricultural carbon emission in Xinjiang changed significantly in structure with the agricultural modernization going on with pivot shifting from agricultural mechanics to agricultural chemicals;( 3) Agricultural carbon emission varied spatially and significantly with states or cities high in population, rich in land resource and well-developed in farming like Kashi, Changji and Yili, being high in agri-cultural carbon emission;and ( 4) Agricultural economic growth was the major factor driving agricultural carbon emission upwards, showing a long standing relationship between them. Therefore, in order to push forward the process of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang, it is essential to harmonize the relationship between agricultural carbon emission and economic development, by taking a low-carbon path to agricultural modernization.关键词
农业现代化/农业碳排放/格兰杰检验/协整检验Key words
agricultural modernization/agricultural carbon emissions/granger causality test/cointegration test分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
唐洪松,刘维忠,苏洋,马惠兰..新疆农业现代化进程中的碳排放效应[J].生态与农村环境学报,2018,34(1):46-53,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(71163041,71640031) （71163041,71640031）
国家社会科学基金 ( 16XMZ093 ) （ 16XMZ093 ）
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金(2016D01B017) （2016D01B017）
