广东电力2018，Vol.31Issue(1)：57-61,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1007-290X.2018.001.011
考虑风险评估的电力系统备用容量规划与评价方法
Planning and Evaluation Methods for Power System Backup Capacity Considering Risk Assessment
摘要
Abstract
On the basis of quantitative risk assessment,this paper uses equivalent energy function to analyze comprehensive e-valuation index for power system backup capacity and presents a kind of rapid calculation method for backup capacity consid-ering reliability and economy.In view of influence of renewable energy on backup capacity planning,it adopts the multi-state generation model to describe renewable energy and according to actual data of the power system of one province,it makes simulating analysis on the system backup rates,backup capacities and backup capacity evaluation indexes of three models in three situations including without considering wind power,fixed wind power output value and multi-state wind power.Results obtained show the calculation and evaluation methods for backup capacity if reasonable and reliable.关键词
电力系统/备用容量规划/风险评估/综合评价指标/多状态发电机Key words
power system/backup capacity planning/risk assessment/comprehensive evaluation index/multi-state generator分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
孙吉波,刘凡,黄国栋,姜江枫,寇宇..考虑风险评估的电力系统备用容量规划与评价方法[J].广东电力,2018,31(1):57-61,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(51577147) （51577147）
广东电网有限责任公司科技项目(GDKJ00000061) （GDKJ00000061）
